Given known information that's been bandied about for some time, Newtek is definitely a more likely merger element. Adobe's movement into 3D isn't within the current op plan -- they have two other targets right now (meaning it's not out of the question, just unlikely). Well, based on their current shareholder's statements, that is.

thou and I, my friend, can, in the most flunkey world, make, each of us, one non-flunkey, one hero, if we like: that will be two heroes to begin with. (Carlyle)