I think somewhere between Speilberg's predictions and wolf359's conservative view is the most likely - in terms of hardware, at least. A rule of thumb is that computers double in power and capacity while halving in price every year. So, if you take a "base" model of 1GB RAM, 200 GB HD and a 2GHz processor. Add in the currently most widely used 32 bit architecture (which, admittedly doesn't double year on year) and you can see what could happen in 10 years. You could end up with something that could wipe the floor clean with a Cray 2, but the size and cost of a packet of cigarettes. Maybe. :) The virtual actor bit, well that may not be so bad. How about a 3D model with the same physical presence as Arnie, for example, but with the acting ability of Lawrence Olivier? As for the nuances of the performance, that would be down to the director. Directors would need to learn new skills, tweaking the virtual performance (and maybe adding in a random element here or there) to get the best possible version out on screen.

Coppula eam se non posit acceptera jocularum.

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