clsteve opened this issue on Nov 15, 2007 · 354 posts
kuroyume0161 posted Thu, 15 November 2007 at 6:12 PM
Quote - Not that easy to calculate, IMHO. Here's why:
Wanna lay odds on how many users got their copy of Poser from the 'BitTorrent/eMule Superstore'?
I'm willing to further bet that 500k isn't specifically the # of license keys sold, but --in their own words-- "users" (and sounds a lot like how many folks that Rendo and CP counts among their respective memberships sorta-semi-combined).
Also, you shouldn't forget how many got Poser as a legit freebie - out of 3D World Magazine, as a big ferinstance. Poser Artist went for $99 for at least, what - four years now?
Oh, and let us not forget bulk licensing. Not enough to seriously affect the numbers overall (if they're truly sales), but enough to take notice of.
--
Now as a counterbalance (of sorts) we do have... well, all of us schmucks in here who bought more than one version.
Given all of that, I'm less inclined to think that Smith Micro took EF to the cleaners or anything...
/P
Well, I'm not disputing their numbers - just calculating with them. ;) Remember that many users have invested in a particular full version and then upgraded over the years. For me, that means about $1500 (Windows and MacOS) from Poser 4 to Poser 7. I'm certain that I'm not alone here - <
One would certainly hope that they are not including illegal copies! I don't in my register user counts and they would be 'cooking the books' if they were. As far as I am aware, the ONLY version of Poser EVER given away for free and full use was Poser 5 for a limited time - I could be wrong though. :)
One reason why I chose $200 is as a sort of medium price. Come 'on, most versions of Poser normally sell for $299 or more (depending upon the outlet). Does whoever happens to own Poser at the moment actually have bulk licensing sales?
Even to be fair and cut that in half, that'd still be $2.5-5 million/year. The quoted 2007 income from the other poster seems to indicate that this calculation isn't as bad as your refutation! ;D
Nonetheless, I will be emailing SmithCorp every 5 minutes to make Poser a plugin for major 3D apps: Maya, 3DSMax, XSI, Vue, er, Cinema 4D. :P
C makes it easy to shoot yourself in the
foot. C++ makes it harder, but when you do, you blow your whole leg
off.
-- Bjarne
Stroustrup
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