I think what needs to be looked at is the distribution angle.

I know that I have never seen a shrink-wrapped copy of Poser 5 at any computer store.  I have never seen a shrink-wrapped copy of Poser 6 at any computer store.  I have seen (a) Poser 7 copy (Windows) at compuseless, but no MAC version.

I see lots of copies of Smith Micro products in both the windows sections & the apple section at compuseless.   

I think that Smith Micro will sell a lot of copies of poser, & since the product now phones home to check the serial number, the piracy issue will start to die down.