SeanMartin opened this issue on Aug 30, 2008 · 103 posts
XENOPHONZ posted Tue, 02 September 2008 at 5:41 PM
Whether or not Obama or McCain have a lead at the moment depends upon which polls you want to believe. The polls are an annoying aspect of modern politics, IMO. It's little more than a way for the news media to create news, so that they have something to talk about.
Political polls are almost as good at predicting election outcomes as local weather reports are on predicting what the weather will be 3 months from now.
I'm glad that daily / every 2 hours types of polls didn't exist during WWII. I'd be glad if they didn't exist now. A poll taken today is close to meaningless in terms of what will actually happen 3 months from now. Occasionally the pollsters seem to get it right......but IMO that's an example of the "stopped clock being right twice a day" phenomenon in operation. Often: the polls turn out to be way off base once the election is held.