gagnonrich opened this issue on Jul 21, 2010 · 48 posts
gagnonrich posted Fri, 23 July 2010 at 1:15 PM
Quote - The solution to solve these problems and maximize the profit is that if a computer requires software and space for storage and there is no way to fit the storage requirements into a cell phone
You can buy an IPhone today with a 32gb solid state drive. While that's getting small by today's standards for all the photos, videos, and Poser content we've all accumulated, it's still more than enough space to store all the software that even a 3D fanatic could want. I forget what the biggest runtime reported here was, but it would probably fit in that amount of space along with all the graphics software most of us need. It's not enough to store all the 3D content I've downloaded across the last decade, but 32gb is a very adequate amount of space to handle all active projects.
You are right that there will be software vendors trying a "pay as you use" approach to remotely offer software. Depending on how they cost the software usage, it might be a very viable change for software distribution--particularly for niche software that most people would only occasionally use.
I'm a little surprised at the reaction here because everybody in this forum is fairly computer savvy. Anybody using Poser enough to want to regularly visit forums is to some degree a technology geek. I doubt that we're going to lose any functionality that is already available. Nobody is going to be doing detailed graphics work on a smartphone screen. A desktop CPU may be a mobile component, built into a phone, that gets disconnected from a desktop docking station so that it can be used remotely. Instead of carrying a notebook or netbook, a person would carry a smartphone and a dumb tablet screen/keyboard to use as a monitor. They'd either connect physically or more likely through a wireless/bluetooth arrangement. A person would still be carrying a phone and something approximating the size of a laptop/netbook/tablet, but it wouldn't have to have its own completely independent set of hardware/software.
Instead of having three different computers with a mix of duplicate/different information on them, you'd always have all your information with you. That information will be mirrored on the desktop docking station, so a smartphone loss isn't a catastrophic loss. I don't know about anybody else, but I'm often missing something that I wish I had with me when I'm travelling with a notebook or netbook. This isn't a radical concept. It's a matter of having everything with you wherever you are so that you're not maintaining multiple disparate configurations of your computers and constantly copying information onto flashdrives from one device to another.
A phone will probably be the vehicle for carrying all that information around because it is the single electronics device that most people have with them (at least in the US). It's just a matter of beefing up the device that nearly everybody is already carrying.
For the sake of disclosure, I'm the only person I know that has neither a smartphone nor even a cellphone. In a year or two, I expect that to change, though I'm way too cheap to ever pay $60/month for a smartphone internet service.
I wouldn't be surprised if something like this happens within a decade. Look at where computers were a decade ago. Who would have imagined a decade ago that a phone would be able to connect to the internet from nearly anyplace in the civilized world, play thousands of songs, watch TV shows, have GPS maps, etc.? Weren't we still on Pentium computers with 1Gb drives just starting to come out? Sandisk is working on a 128 Gb micro SD card that they expect to have on the market next year. Amazon has 64 Gb SDXC cards for sale now for $220. We're a little ways from having a fairly powerful CPU in a smartphone, but it's not too hard to imagine that being conquered within a decade based on how far we''ve advanced from a decade ago.
My visual indexes of Poser
content are at http://www.sharecg.com/pf/rgagnon