eltoro3D opened this issue on Dec 22, 2012 · 372 posts
lmckenzie posted Fri, 04 January 2013 at 12:44 AM
Regarding market saturation – I used to think that this stuff would explode any day. I thought that millions of people would love to ‘unleash their inner artist,’ or whatever DAZ’ catch phrase is. I thought that AutoDesk or some other biggie would snap up Poser or bring out a similar product. No, no and no. I still think there is a natural urge for expression, otherwise YouTube and karaoke would be dead. I now suspect that the number of people who want to really invest the time to create ‘serious’ art or master the technical minutiae of 3D is such that size of the Poser market is pretty much static.
If you look at gaming, a lot of the growth seems to be in the kind of things you can play on your cell phone. How many of the multi-tasking, always busy populace are going to take the time to do the kind of things that Poser/DS are geared towards? At the same time, how many would use some quick easy tool to create online animations or put themselves into their favorite game? I think that DAZ has/had the right idea in looking at gaming and other areas – though I doubt their ability to execute. Without a larger market, we’ll be limited in the number of products, limited in terms of income for content creators and limited to two major companies where the failure of one or any disruption in their relationship can threaten the whole enchilada. I’m not sure that the current fine art and 3D techno demographic is enough to change that.
"Democracy is a pathetic belief in the collective wisdom of individual ignorance." - H. L. Mencken