I can only speak for myself..... when it comes to poser, yes I'm shrinking :)

I'm still on Poser Pro 2012 and have no intention or need to upgrade. I only use it in conjunction with Vue, to pose and set up my characters, props, etc. For that, not much is needed. The new features that are added to poser do not change my experience with poser, I don't need them.

Seeing how SM now trying to break into other markets, I'd say yes, the poser base is shrinking.

Looking at the content market, I'd say yes, the poser base is shrinking, but mostly vendors imagination seems to be shrinking. I see the same stuff (slutwear) over and over again. I see the same kind of props being released over and over again. No one is moving forward, the market seems to be standing still and we all know what that means in the end.

Poser is driven by content..... if the content well dries up, so will poser. The content market is saturated since vendors lack a long term vision, they create the same stuff over and over again, doing the same everyone else does. That will have a huge effect on the market long term. No new releases means the market will slowly die and so will Poser.

SM has seen this and are now trying to breath new life into poser by exploring a new market with different customers, different needs. Problem is that DAZ tried this not too long ago and failed miserably, let's see if SM will do better.

If vendors want to survive, they may need to adjust their license, at the moment Rendo does not allow the content to be used in games. I'm wondering if vendors will go along and stores will change policy and revive the whole content market perhaps. But... knowing how uptight Rendo is, I see them cling unto what they have even more, instead of being open minded and embrace new attempts in the market.

Artwork and 3DToons items, create the perfect place for you toon and other figures!

http://www.renderosity.com/mod/bcs/index.php?vendor=23722

Due to the childish TOS changes, I'm not allowed to link to my other products outside of Rendo anymore :(

Food for thought.....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pYZw0dfLmLk